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Section 2 · Lecture 09 · Sampling Distribution

Sampling Distribution of a Proportion

In the population, the proportion of people with blood type A is a fixed number, the parameter p. Each random sample gives a sample proportion p̂, a statistic that changes from sample to sample. Collect many samples to build the sampling distribution of p̂.

Population proportion, p (fixed)

Sample size, n

Take samples

The population

Parameter: p =

Each dot stands for 1% of a large population. This never changes.

The latest sample

The sampling distribution of p̂

observed proportion of samples theory: Pr(p̂ = r/n) = Pr(Y = r) true p

Samples drawn

0

Average of all the p̂ values

—

Samples with p̂ within ±0.10 of p

—

Working it out

Where the distribution is centred

The distribution of p̂ in a table